Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.028824 0.031551 0.034244 0.037099 0.040035 0.042960 0.046091
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.023360 0.027754 0.032211 0.037042 0.042108 0.047243 0.052824
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.019888 0.025410 0.031136 0.037454 0.044175 0.051069 0.058636
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.016390 0.022638 0.029268 0.036707 0.044725 0.053033 0.062229
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.013965 0.020793 0.028193 0.036617 0.045794 0.055381 0.066059
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.011739 0.018978 0.027000 0.036261 0.046453 0.057177 0.069190
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.009700 0.017213 0.025739 0.035724 0.046819 0.058574 0.071809
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.007422 0.014971 0.023809 0.034337 0.046167 0.058795 0.073093
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.006654 0.014527 0.023912 0.035198 0.047952 0.061619 0.077138
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.005564 0.013574 0.023357 0.035260 0.048808 0.063393 0.080008
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.004165 0.012067 0.022064 0.034418 0.048605 0.063967 0.081539
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.003387 0.011338 0.021672 0.034586 0.049510 0.065731 0.084334
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.002286 0.010085 0.020706 0.034212 0.049963 0.067181 0.087004
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.001369 0.008944 0.019858 0.033991 0.050628 0.068913 0.090042
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000805 0.008240 0.019529 0.034362 0.051948 0.071357 0.093845
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000179 0.006959 0.018338 0.033633 0.051958 0.072302 0.095965
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.006134 0.017703 0.033545 0.052679 0.074016 0.098904
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.005240 0.016895 0.033200 0.053068 0.075328 0.101373
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.004335 0.015982 0.032679 0.053220 0.076346 0.103488
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.003141 0.014475 0.031337 0.052356 0.076182 0.104260
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.002990 0.014652 0.032170 0.054078 0.078949 0.108287
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.002534 0.014258 0.032231 0.054855 0.080623 0.111076
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.001793 0.013233 0.031415 0.054551 0.081039 0.112439